The Shatzkin Files


“Debut pricing” for ebooks: a better idea than withholding them


Three weeks ago, the community had a big discussion about the timing of ebook releases which was triggered by Dominique Raccah’s announcement that Sourcebooks would hold back the ebook of Bran Hambric for some period after the hardcover release. The expressed concern was to insulate the $28.95 hardcover from the price competition currently taking place in the ebook space, where Amazon has started working to establish a $9.99 retail price for new commercial titles, forcing BN.com to match them.

This post doesn’t quarrel with the suggestion that there’s a problem; it is a quest for a better solution.

Although Amazon has pushed some smaller publishers to a different discount structure, the established commercial houses usually sell ebooks to retailers at about 50% off the publisher’s retail price, about the same terms they have established for print books. But ebooks, title for title, add more margin (i.e. profit) to the publisher at the same net revenue because the books don’t have to be manufactured and shipped and there is also no cost of returns. (They would also generate more margin for the stores than print books if they the stores sold them at the same price as the print book, but, as I pointed out in an earlier post, under current practices, they never will.)

Both my “current commercial” and “futurist” instincts say that cutting off the ebook market from purchase at the time the book comes out, is being assertively marketed, and when interest is probably highest, is the wrong strategy.

There are non-pecuniary reasons for publishers to protect the print book sale. Except for the USA Today list, which records Kindle sales but no other ebooks, only print book sales are reported to determine “bestsellers.” And enlightened publishers, including Dominique Raccah, want to protect print book sales to protect brick-and-mortar stores, who are still the most important merchandising and marketing tools publishers have (even if many of them don’t know it.)

To the most avant garde digerati, who advocate eliminating DRM and pushing prices to the consumer down as the antidote to piracy (which the most conservative defenders of the old model would liken to putting a bullet in your brain as an antidote to having taken poison), keeping the book off the market to maintain higher content prices is multi-faceted anathema. Among the inevitable consequences of this, they would tell you, is that there will be more pirated editions available and otherwise-inclined-to-be-honest consumers will be “forced” to the pirate editions because a legitimate ebook edition is not available.

I am not a 100%-no-DRM guy. (Actually, I’m a nearly-100%-social-DRM guy.) And while I believe that the price of content is in an inexorably downward spiral, to the point that the day will come some years from now that it won’t be much of a business to control and sell it, I also believe publishers (and authors) need to preserve content margins as effectively as they can for as long as they can to finance the transition to the new publishing economy where eyeballs and human bandwidth, not IP, are the currency of the realm.

I was surprised recently when a Very Smart Friend defended the Sourcebooks strategy by saying, in effect, “what’s so special about the ebook consumer? The paperback reader waits for the book to get it cheaper; why not have the ebook reader wait for the book to get it cheaper?” My argument that the ebook readers and print book readers are two separate markets carried no weight. First of all, there’s also a split between paperback readers and hardcover readers. But also, my debate opponent simply didn’t buy my paradigm, and frankly, it is currently unprovable.

But I still find the Sourcebooks solution very unsatisfying. I think it hurts the overall sale of the book and the profits of both publisher and author in the long run. Although I think the impact is marginal, I have to agree that ebook readers will more frequently obtain a pirated edition if no legitimate edition is available. And it is “unnatural”. The publisher’s job is to get the author’s work in front of as many paying eyeballs as possible and to generate as much revenue as possible in the process. This strategy works against those objectives.

So here’s another solution, one that:

1. Allows the publisher to sell the ebook at the same time as the print book;

2. Makes it much harder for retailers to discount the ebook way below the print book price; and,

3. Increases the profit to the publisher and author on every ebook sold.

For the first six months of a hot new book’s life, publishers should establish “debut pricing”: reducing the discount at which they are sold to the trade to 20%. And, at the same time, the publishers should sell these ebooks as digital downloads from their own site at full retail price. After the early “debut pricing” period, the discounts are restored to normal, but the publisher’s own site should still continue to sell at full retail (except as part of bundle or subscription offers, of course.)

In the Bran Hambric example, where the book is $28.95, let’s say the ebook were priced at $26.95. Then a retailer (Amazon) buying at 50% off would pay Sourcebooks $13.475 per copy and have to take a hit of $3.485 per copy to sell the book at $9.99. But under my suggestion above, the retailer would be paying $21.56 per copy for the book and the cost of subsidy would jump to $11.57 a copy. That’s more than 3.3 times the amount per copy in the cost to the retailer to support the $9.99 price.

The math for impact on the publisher and author is a bit more complicated. How much additional profit over print books this would represent depends on what the print books cost to manufacture and what the split of revenue is between publisher and author. But it is likely that a change to this policy would mean that each ebook sold would generate  more than twice as much profit to the publisher as a printed book for the period of “debut pricing” discounting.

“Debut pricing ” is not a tactic that will work forever. We’re going to see accelerating change in the way ebook publishing works, including enhanced editions subsequent to the first one that will differentiate the ebook from the print book as we proceed into the digital age. But for the next couple of years, as we start to see ebooks take more and more share from print, this is a way for publishers to keep the pricing of ebooks closer to print books and earn more profits, for themselves and for their authors, at the same time.

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  • http://gravitationalpull.net/wp/ ampressman

    Mike, your math leaves out the vastly fewer ebook buyers who are likely to find ebooks squirreled away on a publisher's own web site. Maybe this could be done with some super-popular authors (then again, maybe such authors should just start selling ebooks directly from their own web sites), but I don't see how most ebook customers will know to look on publishers' sites. Do you think many customers can even name the publishing companies of their favorite authors?

    And what's the DRM plan for such ebooks since Amazon, Barnes & Noble, Sony etc aren't keen on sharing their locked formats with folks outside of their estores? Selling ebooks without DRM would at least let device owners who found a publisher's site make a purchase but I don't think publishers (or authors) favor unlocking their wares.

    -Aaron

  • http://idealog.com/blog Mike Shatzkin

    I agree that publishers won't sell much off their web sites, particularly
    general trade publishers. I fully appreciate what you say about how few
    consumers care about publisher brand. But, in this case, we're talking about
    new books and with the suggestion I'm making, the possibility that the
    Internet retailers would refuse to stock them. So the publisher making them
    available means any consumer who searches for the book can find it and get
    it. (Remember: the whole premise of the post is that I'm suggesting a
    substitute for withholding the book.)
    I don't have a “DRM plan.” I'd leave that to the publisher. I have a recent
    post about DRM but, as I said in this post, I'm not an absolutist on the
    subject although I know most of the highly-informed people about ebooks are.

    Mike
    ——————–
    Mike Shatzkin
    http://idealog.com/blog
    mike@idealog.com
    Founder & CEO
    The Idea Logical Company, Inc.
    Co-founder: Filedby, Inc.
    212-758-5670

  • http://thedigitalist.net/?p=683 thedigitalist.net » links for 2009-08-25

    [...] “Debut pricing” for ebooks: a better idea than withholding them – The Shatzkin Files This post doesn’t quarrel with the suggestion that there’s a problem; it is a quest for a better solution. (tags: pricing) [...]

  • aharvey

    Nice idea.
    Amazon has already countered it by linking print and Kindle discounts in their agreements. This makes it impossible to offer a short discount on a Kindle edition without killing the print edition.

  • http://idealog.com/blog Mike Shatzkin

    Not sure what you mean by this “linking.” And I think Amazon is smart enough
    not to shoot themselves in the foot.
    If major publishers adopt the “debut pricing” strategy on major books,
    Amazon may or may not stop deep-discounting the ebooks (because it would get
    pretty expensive) but I can't believe they'd stop deep-discounting the print
    books on maj
    or bestsellers. Certainly BN.com won't, and, not only would that put Amazon
    at a competitive disadvantage on those books, it would really damage their
    brand which has a very powerful implied promise embedded in it (that's what
    this $9.99 stuff is all about!)

    Mike
    ——————–
    Mike Shatzkin
    http://idealog.com/blog
    mike@idealog.com
    Founder & CEO
    The Idea Logical Company, Inc.
    Co-founder: Filedby, Inc.
    212-758-5670

  • RG

    Mike –

    How does the consumer's perspective factor into this conversation? From a consumer's point of view:

    - paperbacks are less “stuff”, inferior to hardcovers. They are thus worth less to consumers, and should cost less.

    - ebooks are less “stuff” even than paperbacks. The consumer knows there are zero manufacturing costs, and that ebooks cannot be loaned to friends. Savvy customers also know that ebooks can be rendered obsolete, licenses rescinded, and generally devalued in ways that are not possible with real books. Inherently, ebooks provide less value to consumers in many ways. Therefore, the paperback price is too high for ebooks.

    Why not consider making the publishers more efficient overall? At one end of the spectrum, a publisher dealing 100% with ebooks would have a totally different cost structure than one doing 100% print. It would likely also have much higher margins. As publishers change their mix by increasing ebook share, it seems like the correct answer is to make the business cost structure match the production & revenue mix.

    It seems like publishers would relish this opportunity to make their margins look more like those of online-only publishers. It's bizarre that they are fighting to preserve the lower-margin business lines that actually require manufacturing and physical distribution. The truth is that sooner or later, an upstart is going to get into the ebook-only business and the outsized margins generated by the upstart will allow it to kill the slower-moving publishers.

  • http://idealog.com/blog Mike Shatzkin

    It's always a pleasure to meet a rational consumer.

    That the paperback is less book than the hardcover is unarguable. That the
    ebook is less than the print book is not. The ebook can have additional
    features, updateability, links, and more content — and they should.

    And pricing decisions are not for alltime. When CDs first came out, they
    were much more expensive than records even though they cost no more, and
    perhaps less, to make. What is charged for product is what makes the
    manufacturer and the retailer the most money and, in some cases, what works
    to the retailer's strategic advantage. There is no g. uarantee of
    rationality to the consumer.

    When people buy software, whatever form they get it in, they seem to
    understand that the physical thing or the download cost or the infinite
    replicability doesn't figure into the price: they're paying for hours of
    writing code and they sort of know it. It is odd that the same respect for
    the labor isn't usually extended to writers and musicians, where we seek
    some relationship between the replication and delivery cost and the price we
    pay.

    I have made, not disputed, the point you make that ebooks generate higher
    margins. I agree with that, and that's why I tried to identify a solution
    that would even extend that advantage rather than one of withholding a
    product from the market.

    Depending on your personal habits as a consumer, you may not know that
    display of books in brick-and-mortar stores is a significant marketing
    element for book publishers. Their marketing costs per title increase as the
    number of bookstores declines. Sort of like the swap out of print for online
    advertising for newspapers, the online just doesn't make up for what they
    lose in the physical world. So keeping bookstores alive, even taking a
    margin hit to do it, is not an irrational objective.

    And the MARGINS of online-only publishers only tell part of the story. You
    have to do volume to have a major business and we still live in a world
    where “pile 'em high and watch 'em fly” sells more of a single item than
    search.

    Mike
    ——————–
    Mike Shatzkin
    http://idealog.com/blog
    mike@idealog.com
    Founder & CEO
    The Idea Logical Company, Inc.
    Co-founder: Filedby, Inc.
    212-758-5670

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