The Shatzkin Files


One takeaway from Digital Book World that is not to be missed


I think just about everybody has fun at Digital Book World, but it is hard to have more fun there than I do. It’s damn near a year of work coming together over a couple of days with dozens of smart speakers making me personally look good for putting them on the program. So they work hard and satisfy the audience and I get congratulated. What could be better (for me) than that?

(OK, I did do a little bit of work. Besides emceeing the show and co-hosting the final panel, I delivered opening remarks trying to set the stage.)

There were a lot of great takeaways this year. Perhaps the biggest news was the final presentation before the wrap-up panel Michael Cader and I hosted. That was by Matteo Berlucchi, the CEO of Anobii, a UK-based ebook retailer that has substantial investment from Penguin, Random House, and HarperCollins. Matteo didn’t exactly “call for the end” of DRM, but he certainly described a better world without it. And the main point he made was, “I want to sell to Kindle customers and the only way I can do that is if we get rid of DRM.” The combination of the message and the messenger made this the most newsworthy presentation of the show, I thought.

But the factoid that most grabbed me was delivered on the previous day as part of the data developed by AllRomanceebooks.com about the romance readers market. Very superficially, the point being made was also about DRM, but that’s actually a distraction. There was a much larger point buried within.

All Romance is a specialized ebook retailer. To serve the romance reader community more effectively, they’ve built out the BISAC taxonomy for romance, adding more categories. And they’ve added a metadata element called “flames” which basically measure the frequency and explicitness of the sex scenes in any particular book.

The romance world, particularly among the cognescenti in it, is a very anti-DRM environment. And an outfit like All Romance, which has no “device lock-in” working for them — essentially everything they sell gets “side-loaded” somehow, and DRM can often make that more challenging — is right in step with their community sentiment. So the survey contained questions trying to get at the audience attitude about DRM.

There were two relevant stats that I recall. One is that only about 20% of even All Romance’s readers really resist books with DRM. That is to say: 80% don’t. But the factoid that grabbed me is that 96% (that’s not a typo: ninety-six percent) of the ebooks they sell do not have DRM.

All Romance also reports that 91% of the titles they have available are protected by DRM. That makes sense, since all the titles from all the Big Six publishers and all the titles from Harlequin except those from their new digital-first imprint, Carina, have DRM.

What this means is that the nine percent of All Romance’s offerings that do not have DRM are selling 96% of their units overall. And since only 20% of their customers find DRM as a strong deterrent to sales, that means those fledglings are outselling all the majors for other reasons.

This provokes two very important lines of inquiry to me, and neither of them have anything to do with DRM.

The first one would be top of mind to me if I were a major publisher. What are these books that are selling like hotcakes? Why are these books selling like hotcakes? Why can’t we publish these books that are selling like hotcakes?

It is a virtual certainty that a lot more romance ebooks are sold through the “traditional” channels like the Kindle and Nook and Kobo stores than through All Romance. But they have a market big enough to get 6,000 respondants to a survey in a couple of weeks so they’re definitely serving a big clientele. They’ve obviously aggregated an audience that is buying a lot of books that major publishers are missing. Some of this is due to price, undoubtedly, since the All Romance stats also showed robust sales at price points below where the majors are usually most comfortable. Some of it could be attributed to a raunchier title selection being compiled by the smaller upstart title selection (remember All Romance’s “flame” ratings.) Some of it might be loyalty to authors who could be signed up by majors with the right offers.

But if 24 out of every 25 books being sold by a pretty damn big specialist retailer to the biggest ebook genre that I competed in were outside of my immediate competitive set (which, for the Big Six, is basically each other and Harlequin), I’d want to know more about the details of that. And I’d also be asking All Romance what I could do to get more sales from their audience. I have a feeling they’d say that better metadata, more sex (within the pages of the books, that is), and lower prices are all more important than stripping off the DRM, but it’s s conversation the big publishers should be having with them.

The second question that the data provokes to me is whether this phenomenon — all these successful books outside the purview of the major houses — is a unique characteristic of romance books. I don’t know if there’s an All Mystery ebooks vendor or an All Thrillers ebook vendor or even an All Sci-Fi ebook vendor (I’ll bet we’ll find out from our comment string after this is posted!!!) but, if there is, it would be interesting to find out if this is true there too.

These are the immediate questions All Romance’s appearance put in the front of my mind. I think they show another aspect of verticalization. As a vertical retailer, they invent new metadata elements that really help them merchandise to their audience. What that suggests is an opportunity for an All History or All Politics retailer as well; enhancing metadata might be even more valuable for non-fiction subjects than it is for specialized fiction.

There was an article about Amazon by Brad Stone in this week’s issue of Bloomberg Business Week in which I was quoted about Larry Kirshbaum, the former head of Time Warner Book Group (now Hachette) and currently the head of a new Amazon imprint whose mission it is to recruit mainstream authors to be published by the retailer. Many of Larry’s former colleagues and counterparts at big publishers take this decision of his to join Amazon extremely personally and it is reflected in what they say they now feel about Larry himself. That was reflected in my quote which says that Larry “has gone from one of the most well-liked people in publishing to the one of the most reviled.”

I want to make clear that I was not expressing my personal opinion. I still very much like Larry Kirshbaum and I’m a bit embarrassed to be quoted (even accurately) characterizing the feeling about him in these terms. The people running big NY houses see Amazon as a bare-knuckled competitor. With their responsibility for the continued success and viability of their own enterprises and the threat Amazon poses in that regard, contentiousness is built into the interaction and competition between Amazon and the big publishers. I believe my quote accurately reflected the degree to which that is transferred to personal feelings, even for somebody whom so many people have known and liked for years. Although I well understand the feelings my quote described, this is one case where I wish I hadn’t been so candid.

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  • Cecilia Tan

    The most striking thing to me about the recent email from AllRomance to publishers was not only what their data showed, but that they showed their data to us at all! Try finding out from Amazon or B&N anything about who is buying your ebooks or what they like about them… you’ll get a lot of silence in return.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      Cecilia, even more than that, they did the survey explicitly at our request to generate data for Digital Book World.

      But one big takeaway from the conference that I didn’t cite is that Jim Hilt of Barnes & Noble promised that they would be much more forthcoming sharing data with publishers. Exactly what proof will be in that pudding remains to be seen. And Michael Tamblyn of Kobo has been a star data sharer for years. Maybe now B&N will give him a run for his money. Let’s remember that the other Internet retailers wouldn’t want Amazon to be the only “publisher” that knows what other retailers know because there is a threat that books Amazon signs up wouldn’t necessarily be available to them on the same basis, if at all. (Although, to be fair, Amazon seems to be moving in the direction of truly *publishing* books, making them more broadly available. I cite the recent Houghton Mifflin deal.

      Mike

  • http://www.smashwords.com/profile/view/michaelallen Mikel01

    Your final two paragraphs about Larry Kirshbaum are well judged. But I would not be remotely surprised to hear that he is now thoroughly bad-mouthed by some people in big publishing, because such individuals are likely to be feeling very nervous indeed. Anyone working for a big publisher must be wondering if they will have a job next year… and a pension???  It is not surprising if they now speak badly of someone who can see where the future lies, and acts on it.

    If Kodak can go bust, can anyone seriously imagine that any firm is safe?  Compared with Kodak, big publishers are piddling little companies with almost zero name-recognition. HarperCollins? What’s that? Some sort of toilet cleaner? (I don’t know about the US, but in the UK Harpic is a household name.)

    In photography, legendary and highly innovative companies such as Polaroid, Bronica, Contax, Agfa, Konica, Minolta and Ilford have all gone out of business since the rise of digital imaging. As The Times (London) put it in a leader on 20 January, ‘It is hard to overestimate the destructive power of the digital revolution in consumer
    markets.’

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      Don’t really disagree. Similar resentment was expressed against Random House when they didn’t go agency when everybody else did. And one hears similar things about Jane Friedman and Open Road.

      I have to say that, based on 50 years of knowing top publishing executives, I have the highest regard for the brains, decency, and willingness to change and grow of the current incumbents of the top houses. This is the best crop of leaders big publishing has ever had. But they have an almost impossible challenge, trying to maintain their current businesses (which are all still raking in a LOT of money from print; money their owners expect them to keep harvesting) and invent who-knows-what. Even good people can get cranky, or even irrational, when they’re in an impossible situation. I think that’s the lesson here, not that there are any serious character or intellectual deficiencies among the Big Six leadership.

      Mike

  • http://www.smashwords.com/profile/view/michaelallen Michael Allen

    Oops. Meant to use my real name on the post below, not Mikel01.

  • http://www.smashwords.com/profile/view/michaelallen Michael Allen

    I give up. Mikel01 = Michael Allen. No secret.

  • Mari

    I know zilch about their numbers or how well they are doing or what’s actually selling there, but Weightless Books (
    http://weightlessbooks.com/) specializes in small/independent press speculative fiction books.

  • Cathy Doyle

    I was complaining to McGraw Hill last weekend at a conference about their decision to remove ebooks from various library platforms and create their own, which is annoying.  Their comment was that platform providers weren’t providing enough data to allow them to know how their material was being used and if all the extra bells and whistles they were adding really did add value.  I think that this is a valid concern for them.

  • Peter Turner

    96% of all sales via All Romance are DRM-free but have to wonder what portion of revenue this represents.

    • Howard

      That is a fair point. However only if you infer that the DRM free titles are all 1.99, yet when I look at the prices of their best sellers they are not. 
      Also surely it is screamingly obvious that the claim about only 20% having DRM resistance is demonstrably a nonsense ! It may well be that the DRM lock publishers also overprice their titles, but clearly the DRM is a major major problem and far more than their ‘survey’ shows.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      A lot less than 96% for sure!

      Mike

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  • Steve Wieck

    We are a specialty ebook retailer in business for ten years doing several million in sales a year.
    1. I ‘m not clear on how the 20% of customers resisting DRM was compiled: from polls of customers’ opinions or from purchase data or better yet, from repeat purchase data. As online merchants we want to minimize transaction friction for the customer. Any specialty ebook retailer like us or All Romance already has the disadvantage that customers have to side-load books; we don’t have the virtuous network of hardware and content delivery like Amazon, Apple, B&N.  DRM carries a huge amount of transaction friction for the customer in such cases, especially upon the first such purchase. That friction will discourage customers  from buying anything again from the specialty retailer (why repeat a frustrating experience) or at least repeating the purchase of a DRM title (for the customers who care to invest time in learning what DRM is, what ebook formats are, etc.).2. We used to use Adobe DRM. We stopped using it and sales jumped  30%.3. Even after we stopped using DRM on content where we have direct relationships with publishers/authors, we still imported DRM titles via Ingram’s ebook distribution service. The sales on titles we received from Ingram, titles from top publisher/authors that you would expect to be best sellers, sold miserably. Titles without DRM were leading sellers. This matches the 96% data point of All Romance. We stopped using the Ingram service altogether to make the customer experience entirely DRM free, remove titles that weren’t selling any way, and save our customer service staff time (DRM radically increases customer service load which tells you what the experience is like for customers).4. We consistently cannot form direct relationships with top publishers because they require DRM and based on our past results we don’t want to offer it. Retailers like us or  All Romance are  niche-focused retailers doing a large volume in a niche, servicing that niche, compiling better metadata for that niche, better customer lists for that niche, etc. but the top publishers do not take part in that success. The self-publishing authors, the small and mid-size press do. They are deep in the niche and they know where the content is getting sold.If Top Publishers fear both Amazon dominating content delivery and fear authors electing to self-publish, then they are assisting both of those outcomes by adhering to DRM and locking themselves out of independent niche marketplaces.Steve Wieck

    • Rashkae

      Steve, there are times when it’s appropriate to plug.. this is one of them.  (Or should I hire a PI to find this specialty store you speak of?)

      • Steve Wieck

        We operate marketplaces for different niches. An example is http://www.DriveThruFiction.com which is connected to DriveThruComics.com and DriveThruRPG.com

      • Rashkae

        Thank you, much appreciate the reply.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      Steve, thanks for sharing your experience underscoring that All Romance is not alone.

      I think that if the number of retailers who take the position you do grows, it might be as persuasive as Matteo Berlucchi’s arguments against DRM. But let’s remember that what is sold by Amazon and B&N is a huge multiple of what is sold by smaller retailers. And let’s also remember that the 96% unit sales figure is not matched by dollars, as has been pointed out by othes.

      The 20% figure came from the survey that was responded to by 6000 of their customers.

      Mike

  • Chris

    The side load thing is a pain in the arse.

    I use dropbox to load non Kindle stuff onto my Kindle Fire. Apps included since I can’t access any appstore because I’m out of the US. 

    Maybe niche retailers could offer a cloud service that allows buyers to access content and sync it to their device? Or maybe a dedicated app for their store?

    Just spitballing here.

  • Micah Bowers

    You make a good point that given the stats, there is something else going on beyond DRM.  That is an interesting mystery, but what I find more interesting is that there are 20% that actively avoid DRM.  How fascinating it would be to break that down.  All Romance has been around for a while, so many of these readers may have an outdated device that they still use that would not support it.  Maybe they have a Kindle, and either don’t want to or can’t find these titles through Amazon.  Maybe there are other reasons e.g. philosophically opposed… ?   Doubt that. This relates back to Matteo.  I find it hard to believe they could make much money selling the same titles, at the same price, as the Kindle store to Kindle users. Honestly, I think DRM is a red herring here.  Could affect 10%? – which is not nothing, but not the actually interesting topic IMHO. Which is: what can eBook retailers do to actually compete with Amazon?  Going DRM free is a weak (and I would argue short term) approach.  There are things they could do (BN has done some of those things).  I’m all for good debate about DRM. But please, let us not get distracted from the core issue of crafting compelling reasons for consumers to buy ebooks from any other source.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      Not sure when and if the slides will be shared, but All Romance did ask more probing questions about the DRM. Some people wanted to do precisely what DRM didn’t want them to do (“share” the content with friends and family); some found it confusing and difficult. It was a mix. I’m sorry I can’t recall the details.

      I agree that DRM and the overall subject of piracy in general get too much attention in relation to what *I personally* think the barriers to DRM for many people (not that great) and what I think are the cost of piracy to publishers (also not that great). Those calculations on my part are largely intuitive, but I think they’re intuitive on just about everybody’s part.
      However, the problems of *managing* DRM, and its cost, are very real. It would seem the cost of *having* DRM falls mainly on the retailer and the imagined costs of piracy fall mainly on the publisher and author.

      Mike

  • Nicholas Boshart

    Baen is a sci-fi shop that’s had a free library and DRM free ebooks for a long time now. They’re a small shop with not a lot of publishers, but they do certainly inspire loyalty in their customers.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      Correct. And I’ve said before on the blog that I should know more about them. One of these conferences…

      Mike

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  • http://twitter.com/MindTheRant R. Hartzell

    Mike –

    Why on earth don’t all the DRM-preoccupied major publishers do what Harlequin has done and introduce a non-DRM imprint?  Seems like a low-cost way of getting some actual data about the cost of piracy versus its (dare I say it?) word-of-mouth benefits.

    Interesting, too, that Matteo Berlucchi said “I want to sell to Kindle customers and the only way I can do that is if we get rid of DRM.”  I visited AllRomanceEbooks.com and checked their FAQ, because I wanted to see what the retailer had to say about getting its content onto a portable ereader like the Kindle.  And ARE actually suggests some approaches, including using the Kindle’s email address to email the book to yourself.  (ARE does admit Amazon charges for this service.)  Ultimately, though, it amazes me that All Romance succeeds despite the reality that its customers must sideload its content, since this reality applies even to the much-more-popular non-DRM stuff its sells.  It illustrates what genre enthusiasts are willing to put up with to get a content fix.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      Richard, I can’t answer the question as to why the Big Pubs don’t all have DRM-free imprints. Clearly they should. I’m a bit embarrassed to say I’ve never made the suggestion before to any of them. I will in the future.
      Mike

    • Christian K

      If you are wondering about All Romance’s continued success and survival, it might be helpful to note that they predate the kindle by a year or so (2006)  They created a loyal e-book fanbase/community long before they had any real competition. 

      • /blog Mike Shatzkin

        I’m sure that was of value but the market has grown so much since then that I’d be very surprised if more than 5% of their customers were with them before Kindle. Just a hunch.

        Mike

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  • Teri Heyer

    As a romance reader & a romance indie author, it’s not about DRM, it’s about the books themselves. Honest, romance readers just want to read a good romance.

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      You’re confirming my suss. Thanks.

      Mike

    • /blog Mike Shatzkin

      You’re confirming my suss. Thanks.

      Mike

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